Naomi Osaka

2026 at a glance

Win–loss (covered events): 23–8 74%
Titles (covered events): 0
Elo rating: 1858 No. 9 on the WTA tour by Elo

Win rate by surface

Hard75%12–4

Clay70%7–3

Grass80%4–1

Last 10 matches

WWWLWWWLWW

W vs Sára Bejlek · China Open (WTA), third round7–6(4), 6–4
W vs Maria Timofeeva · China Open (WTA), second round6–3, 3–6, 6–3
L vs Elena Rybakina · US Open, fourth round6–1, 6–4
W vs Elise Mertens · US Open, third round6–3, 3–6, 7–5
W vs Kateřina Siniaková · US Open, second round6–2, 5–7, 6–1
W vs Anastasia Zakharova · US Open, first round7–6(6), 7–6(3)
L vs Elena Rybakina · Canadian Open (WTA), quarterfinals4–6, 7–6(5), 6–4
W vs Leylah Fernandez · Canadian Open (WTA), fourth round6–4, 6–4
W vs Elise Mertens · Canadian Open (WTA), third round6–1, 6–2
W vs Panna Udvardy · Canadian Open (WTA), second round6–2, 6–4

China Open (WTA)

Next match

Fourth round · WTA

Karolína Muchová (7)53%

Naomi Osaka (12)47%

How this is calculated

	Karolína Muchová	Naomi Osaka
Overall Elo	1847 (34 m)	1858 (31 m)
Hard-court Elo	1850 (23 m)	1796 (16 m)
Blended (50/50)	1849	1827
2026 record	27–7	23–8
Hard-court record	19–4 · 83%	12–4 · 75%
Head-to-head	1	0
Last 10	WWWWLWWLWW	WWWLWWWLWW

P(Karolína Muchová) = 1 / (1 + 10^{(1827 − 1849) / 400}) = 53%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model

Covered 2026 draws

Head-to-head

Opponent	W–L	Last meeting
Aryna Sabalenka	1–3	Wimbledon, fourth round · won 6–2, 7–6(2)
Elena Rybakina	0–2	US Open, fourth round · lost 6–1, 6–4
Elise Mertens	2–0	US Open, third round · won 6–3, 3–6, 7–5
Camila Osorio	2–0	Madrid Open, second round · won 6–2, 7–5
Sára Bejlek	1–0	China Open (WTA), third round · won 7–6(4), 6–4
Maria Timofeeva	1–0	China Open (WTA), second round · won 6–3, 3–6, 6–3
Kateřina Siniaková	1–0	US Open, second round · won 6–2, 5–7, 6–1
Anastasia Zakharova	1–0	US Open, first round · won 7–6(6), 7–6(3)
Leylah Fernandez	1–0	Canadian Open (WTA), fourth round · won 6–4, 6–4
Panna Udvardy	1–0	Canadian Open (WTA), second round · won 6–2, 6–4
Karolína Muchová	0–1	Wimbledon, quarterfinals · lost 7–6(4), 6–4
Daria Kasatkina	1–0	Wimbledon, third round · won 6–1, 6–3
Anastasia Gasanova	1–0	Wimbledon, second round · won 6–3, 6–2
Elsa Jacquemot	1–0	Wimbledon, first round · won 6–1, 7–5
Iva Jovic	1–0	Roland Garros, third round · won 7–6(5), 6–7(3), 6–4
Donna Vekić	1–0	Roland Garros, second round · won 7–6(1), 6–4
Laura Siegemund	1–0	Roland Garros, first round · won 6–3, 7–6(3)
Iga Świątek	0–1	Italian Open, fourth round · lost 6–2, 6–1
Diana Shnaider	1–0	Italian Open, third round · won 6–1, 6–2
Eva Lys	1–0	Italian Open, second round · won 6–4, 4–6, 6–3
Anhelina Kalinina	1–0	Madrid Open, third round · won 6–1, 6–3
Talia Gibson	0–1	Miami Open, second round · lost 7–5, 6–4
Victoria Jiménez Kasintseva	1–0	Indian Wells Open, second round · won 7–5, 6–2
Sorana Cîrstea	1–0	Australian Open, second round · won 6–3, 4–6, 6–2
Antonia Ružić	1–0	Australian Open, first round · won 6–3, 3–6, 6–4