HomeSeason MapChina Open (WTA)
Beijing, China · WTA 1000
China Open (WTA)
96 players · 16 still in
WTA singles
Next matches
Fourth round · WTA
Low confidence: one player has fewer than 8 rated matches.
How this is calculated
| Alina Charaeva | Zheng Qinwen | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1636 (5 m) | 1775 (22 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1688 (4 m) | 1832 (15 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1662 | 1804 |
| 2026 record | 3–2 | 14–8 |
| Hard-court record | 3–1 · 75% | 11–4 · 73% |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 | LLWWW | LLWWWWLWWW |
P(Alina Charaeva) = 1 / (1 + 10(1804 − 1662) / 400) = 31%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Fourth round · WTA
How this is calculated
| Ann Li | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1642 (26 m) | 1874 (44 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1665 (18 m) | 1811 (31 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1653 | 1843 |
| 2026 record | 14–12 | 34–10 |
| Hard-court record | 10–8 · 56% | 24–7 · 77% |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 | LWLWLWWLWW | WWWLWWWLWW |
P(Ann Li) = 1 / (1 + 10(1843 − 1653) / 400) = 25%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Fourth round · WTA
How this is calculated
| Coco Gauff | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1982 (54 m) | 1703 (33 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1964 (36 m) | 1622 (21 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1973 | 1663 |
| 2026 record | 43–11 | 21–12 |
| Hard-court record | 29–7 · 81% | 13–8 · 62% |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 | WWWWWWWLWW | WLWLLWWLWW |
P(Coco Gauff) = 1 / (1 + 10(1663 − 1973) / 400) = 86%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Fourth round · WTA
How this is calculated
| Iva Jovic | Iga Świątek | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1729 (33 m) | 1925 (44 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1720 (21 m) | 1905 (30 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1724 | 1915 |
| 2026 record | 22–11 | 34–10 |
| Hard-court record | 14–7 · 67% | 24–6 · 80% |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 | WLWLWWWLWW | WWWLWWWLWW |
P(Iva Jovic) = 1 / (1 + 10(1915 − 1724) / 400) = 25%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Fourth round · WTA
How this is calculated
| Linda Nosková | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1851 (38 m) | 1683 (22 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1754 (24 m) | 1668 (17 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1803 | 1675 |
| 2026 record | 27–11 | 11–11 |
| Hard-court record | 16–8 · 67% | 9–8 · 53% |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 | WWLWWWWLWW | WWLWLWWLWW |
P(Linda Nosková) = 1 / (1 + 10(1675 − 1803) / 400) = 68%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Fourth round · WTA
How this is calculated
| Daria Snigur | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1678 (13 m) | 1861 (44 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1637 (6 m) | 1732 (25 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1657 | 1797 |
| 2026 record | 8–5 | 33–11 |
| Hard-court record | 4–2 · 67% | 17–8 · 68% |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 | LWWLWLLWWW | WWLWWWWLWW |
P(Daria Snigur) = 1 / (1 + 10(1797 − 1657) / 400) = 31%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Fourth round · WTA
How this is calculated
| Karolína Muchová | Naomi Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1847 (34 m) | 1858 (31 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1850 (23 m) | 1796 (16 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1849 | 1827 |
| 2026 record | 27–7 | 23–8 |
| Hard-court record | 19–4 · 83% | 12–4 · 75% |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| Last 10 | WWWWLWWLWW | WWWLWWWLWW |
P(Karolína Muchová) = 1 / (1 + 10(1827 − 1849) / 400) = 53%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Fourth round · WTA
How this is calculated
| Sinja Kraus | Nikola Bartůňková | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1456 (10 m) | 1722 (20 m) |
| Hard-court Elo | 1548 (6 m) | 1699 (13 m) |
| Blended (50/50) | 1502 | 1710 |
| 2026 record | 3–7 | 13–7 |
| Hard-court record | 3–3 · 50% | 9–4 · 69% |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| Last 10 | LLLLLLLWWW | WWLWLWWLWW |
P(Sinja Kraus) = 1 / (1 + 10(1710 − 1502) / 400) = 23%. Records, head-to-head and form are shown for context; they already feed the Elo ratings and are not added again. About the model
Players
- 1Elena Rybakina KAZLost second round
- 2Aryna Sabalenka Lost third round
- 3Coco Gauff USANext: fourth round
- 4Mirra Andreeva Next: fourth round
- 5Linda Nosková CZENext: fourth round
- 6Elina Svitolina UKRNext: fourth round
- 7Karolína Muchová CZENext: fourth round
- 8Iga Świątek POLNext: fourth round
- 9Belinda Bencic SUILost third round
- 10Iva Jovic USANext: fourth round
- 11Diana Shnaider Lost third round
- 12Naomi Osaka JPNNext: fourth round
- 13Elise Mertens BELNext: fourth round
- 14Jasmine Paolini ITALost second round
- 15Anna Kalinskaya Lost second round
- 16Anastasia Potapova AUTLost second round
- 17Maja Chwalińska POLLost second round
- 18Marie Bouzková CZELost third round
- 19Ekaterina Alexandrova Next: fourth round
- 20Sára Bejlek CZELost third round
- 21Ann Li USANext: fourth round
- 22Diane Parry FRALost second round
- 23Leylah Fernandez CANLost second round
- 24Jeļena Ostapenko LATLost third round
- 25Maria Sakkari GRELost third round
- 26Nikola Bartůňková CZENext: fourth round
- 27Cristina Bucșa ESPLost second round
- 28Peyton Stearns USALost second round
- 29Liudmila Samsonova Lost third round
- 30Donna Vekić CROLost third round
- 31Wang Xinyu CHNLost second round
- 32Clara Tauson DENLost second round
- Alina Charaeva ARMNext: fourth round
- Daria Snigur UKRNext: fourth round
- Sinja Kraus AUTNext: fourth round
- WCZheng Qinwen CHNNext: fourth round
- QAliaksandra Sasnovich Lost second round
- Alycia Parks USALost first round
- Anastasia Zakharova Lost second round
- QAndrea Lázaro García ESPLost first round
- Anhelina Kalinina UKRLost first round
- Anna Bondár HUNLost first round
- PRAoi Ito JPNLost first round
- Ashlyn Krueger USALost second round
- QBai Zhuoxuan CHNLost first round
- Camila Osorio COLLost second round
- Caty McNally USALost first round
- Daria Kasatkina AUSLost first round
- Darja Vidmanova CZELost first round
- Dayana Yastremska UKRLost third round
- Elena-Gabriela Ruse ROULost second round
- QElsa Jacquemot FRALost first round
- LLElvina Kalieva USALost first round
- Eva Lys GERLost first round
- WCGao Xinyu CHNLost second round
- QHarriet Dart GBRLost second round
- Janice Tjen INALost second round
- Kamilla Rakhimova UZBLost third round
- QKatarzyna Kawa POLLost first round
- Kateřina Siniaková CZELost second round
- Katie Boulter GBRLost second round
- Katie Volynets USALost second round
- Kimberly Birrell AUSLost second round
- Lanlana Tararudee THALost first round
- Lilli Tagger AUTLost first round
- WCLin Yujun CHNLost first round
- LLLinda Fruhvirtová CZELost second round
- QMaddison Inglis AUSLost second round
- Magda Linette POLLost first round
- Magdalena Fręch POLLost second round
- QMai Hontama JPNLost first round
- Maria Timofeeva UZBLost second round
- QMarina Bassols Ribera ESPLost first round
- Maya Joint AUSLost first round
- Oleksandra Oliynykova UKRLost first round
- Panna Udvardy HUNLost first round
- Paula Badosa ESPLost second round
- Polina Kudermetova UZBLost third round
- WCQu Yihan CHNLost first round
- Renata Zarazúa MEXLost second round
- QRobin Montgomery USALost first round
- WCShao Yushan CHNLost first round
- QShi Han CHNLost first round
- Sofia Kenin USALost first round
- PRSonay Kartal GBRLost third round
- QStorm Hunter AUSLost second round
- WCSun Xinran CHNLost third round
- Talia Gibson AUSLost first round
- Tamara Korpatsch GERLost first round
- Taylah Preston AUSLost third round
- Viktorija Golubic SUILost third round
- LLYexin Ma CHNLost first round
- WCYuan Yue CHNLost second round
- Yuliia Starodubtseva UKRLost first round
- Zeynep Sönmez TURLost first round
- WCZhu Lin CHNLost second round
Draw by round
Fourth round 0/8 played
- Alina Charaeva vs Zheng QinwenNot played
- Ann Li vs Elina SvitolinaNot played
- Coco Gauff vs Elise MertensNot played
- Iva Jovic vs Iga ŚwiątekNot played
- Linda Nosková vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaNot played
- Daria Snigur vs Mirra AndreevaNot played
- Karolína Muchová vs Naomi OsakaNot played
- Sinja Kraus vs Nikola BartůňkováNot played
Third round 16/16 played
- Alina Charaeva d. Sonay Kartal6–4, 6–1
- Zheng Qinwen d. Marie Bouzková7–6(3), 4–6, 7–5
- Ann Li d. Belinda Bencic6–4, 6–3
- Elina Svitolina d. Maria Sakkari6–4, 7–5
- Coco Gauff d. Sun Xinran7–5, 6–1
- Elise Mertens d. Jeļena Ostapenko6–2, 3–6, 6–3
- Iva Jovic d. Kamilla Rakhimova6–1, 7–5
- Iga Świątek d. Donna Vekić4–6, 7–6(0), 6–2
- Linda Nosková d. Viktorija Golubic6–2, 6–1
- Ekaterina Alexandrova d. Diana Shnaider3–6, 6–4, 6–3
- Daria Snigur d. Taylah Preston6–1, 6–0
- Mirra Andreeva d. Polina Kudermetova6–4, 6–1
- Karolína Muchová d. Liudmila Samsonova4–6, 6–4, 6–2
- Naomi Osaka d. Sára Bejlek7–6(4), 6–4
- Sinja Kraus d. Dayana Yastremska6–1, 6–4
- Nikola Bartůňková d. Aryna Sabalenka6–4, 6–3
Second round 32/32 played
- Alina Charaeva d. Elena Rybakina3–6, 6–4, 6–3
- Sonay Kartal d. Wang Xinyu6–3, 6–2
- Marie Bouzková d. Kimberly Birrell6–4, 6–4
- Zheng Qinwen d. Anna Kalinskaya6–7(4), 6–4, 3–0 ret.
- Belinda Bencic d. Anastasia Zakharova6–1, 7–6(3)
- Ann Li d. Ashlyn Krueger6–4, 6–2
- Maria Sakkari d. Storm Hunter6–2, 6–2
- Elina Svitolina d. Kateřina Siniaková1–6, 6–4, 6–2
- Coco Gauff d. Camila Osorio7–6(4), 4–6, 6–2
- Sun Xinran d. Cristina Bucșa6–4, 7–5
- Jeļena Ostapenko d. Paula Badosa7–6(5), 7–5
- Elise Mertens d. Katie Volynets6–0, 4–6, 7–5
- Iva Jovic d. Harriet Dart2–6, 6–3, 6–3
- Kamilla Rakhimova d. Leylah Fernandez6–2, 4–6, 6–3
- Donna Vekić d. Zhu Lin6–1, 4–6, 6–2
- Iga Świątek d. Gao Xinyu6–2, 6–3
- Linda Nosková d. Elena-Gabriela Ruse6–4, 6–1
- Viktorija Golubic d. Peyton Stearns6–4, 3–6, 6–3
- Ekaterina Alexandrova d. Aliaksandra Sasnovich6–1, 6–4
- Diana Shnaider d. Janice Tjen6–0, 6–4
- Daria Snigur d. Jasmine Paolini3–6, 7–6(5), 6–2
- Taylah Preston d. Diane Parry7–6(4), 6–1
- Polina Kudermetova d. Clara Tauson6–4, 4–6, 6–4
- Mirra Andreeva d. Yuan Yue3–6, 6–0, 6–0
- Karolína Muchová d. Katie Boulter7–6(3), 6–1
- Liudmila Samsonova d. Linda Fruhvirtová6–2, 3–6, 6–3
- Sára Bejlek d. Maddison Inglis6–3, 7–5
- Naomi Osaka d. Maria Timofeeva6–3, 3–6, 6–3
- Sinja Kraus d. Anastasia Potapova4–1 ret.
- Dayana Yastremska d. Maja Chwalińska6–3, 6–1
- Nikola Bartůňková d. Magdalena Fręch6–2, 6–2
- Aryna Sabalenka d. Renata Zarazúa6–1, 6–3
First round 32/32 played
- Alina Charaeva d. Yuliia Starodubtseva5–7, 7–5, 6–2
- Sonay Kartal d. Andrea Lázaro García6–2, 6–3
- Kimberly Birrell d. Aoi Ito6–1, 6–1
- Zheng Qinwen d. Shi Han7–6(6), 4–6, 6–2
- Anastasia Zakharova d. Shao Yushan6–0, 6–2
- Ashlyn Krueger d. Sofia Kenin6–3, 6–3
- Storm Hunter d. Lin Yujun6–2, 6–1
- Kateřina Siniaková d. Magda Linette6–4, 6–3
- Camila Osorio d. Lanlana Tararudee6–3, 6–3
- Sun Xinran d. Eva Lys6–1, 3–0 ret.
- Paula Badosa d. Daria Kasatkina4–6, 7–6(7), 6–4
- Katie Volynets d. Robin Montgomery7–5, 7–5
- Harriet Dart d. Qu Yihan6–2, 6–7(5), 7–5
- Kamilla Rakhimova d. Marina Bassols Ribera6–4, 7–6(2)
- Zhu Lin d. Alycia Parks6–4, 6–2
- Gao Xinyu d. Panna Udvardy6–2, 6–3
- Elena-Gabriela Ruse d. Lilli Tagger6–4, 6–2
- Viktorija Golubic d. Elvina Kalieva6–3, 6–1
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich d. Talia Gibson6–1, 6–4
- Janice Tjen d. Anhelina Kalinina2–6, 7–5, 6–4
- Daria Snigur d. Katarzyna Kawa3–6, 6–4, 7–5
- Taylah Preston d. Tamara Korpatsch6–2, 7–6(4)
- Polina Kudermetova d. Yexin Ma6–7(2), 6–3, 6–2
- Yuan Yue d. Oleksandra Oliynykova6–2, 6–3
- Katie Boulter d. Mai Hontama6–3, 6–4
- Linda Fruhvirtová d. Bai Zhuoxuan6–2, 6–3
- Maddison Inglis d. Zeynep Sönmez6–4, 6–4
- Maria Timofeeva d. Darja Vidmanova6–3, 6–3
- Sinja Kraus d. Maya Joint6–3, 3–6, 7–5
- Dayana Yastremska d. Caty McNally6–3, 6–4
- Magdalena Fręch d. Elsa Jacquemot7–5, 3–6, 6–4
- Renata Zarazúa d. Anna Bondár7–6(4), 6–3
Source: Wikipedia, 2026 China Open – Women's singles · page revised · fetched
How the win probabilities work
Every completed match in the 2026 draws this site covers (2,848 matches from 41 Wikipedia draw pages, walkovers excluded) updates an Elo rating. Everyone starts at 1500; after each match the winner gains and the loser drops K × (1 − expected score), with K = 250 / (matches played + 5)0.4, so a player’s rating moves less as their record grows. A separate rating is kept for hard, clay and grass. For a match, each player’s overall and surface ratings are averaged, and the chance of winning is 1 / (1 + 10(opponent − player) / 400).
Limits: only covered tournaments count (no Challengers, qualifying or most 250s), every rating starts fresh in January, and injuries or retirements mid-event are not modelled. Treat the numbers as an estimate, not a forecast.